Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Early Indications May 2013 First-world problems: Too much choice

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Several smart people have written about choice as a paralyzing force in western consumer economies. A recent experience reminded me of a g...

Early Indications June 2013: What gets measured, gets . . .

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It has become a business truism that “what gets measured, gets managed” after the great Peter Drucker allegedly wrote it. (There is no citat...
Monday, April 29, 2013

April 2013 Early Indications: What are humans good at?

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"So we will be producing about 1026 to 1029 cps of nonbiological computation per year in the early 2030s. This is roughly equal to our ...
Saturday, March 30, 2013

Early Indications March 2013: Digital Heirlooms

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I've been thinking a lot lately about the invisible consequences of our smartphone/mobile/digital world. Somewhere down the road, the ...
Thursday, February 28, 2013

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Early Indications February 2013: Big Caveats Regarding Big Data Review essay Michael Mauboussin, The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and ...
Thursday, January 31, 2013

Early Indications January 2013: A Plethora of Predictions

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Longtime readers know that I have in some years written prediction newsletters, then followed up 11 months later to grade the list. This yea...
Saturday, December 01, 2012

Early Indications November 2012: How will TV be disrupted?

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No sector has been more transformed by the internet than audience aggregators. These content companies, through various means, make money fr...
Thursday, November 01, 2012

Early Indications October 2012: The State of Mobile Payment (U.S. market)

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With so many powerful players getting involved, some more standing on the sidelines, and a few wild-card startups, the smartphone-as-wallet ...
Sunday, September 30, 2012

Early Indications September 2012: Party platform comparison

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***** It should be stated explicitly that all views are my own and do not represent official policy or any other attribute of my employers. ...
Saturday, July 28, 2012

Early Indications July 2012: The Media Beast

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Those of you who have read this newsletter for a while know that it has, nominally anyway, a technology focus. While the current number ma...