Thursday, January 31, 2013

Early Indications January 2013: A Plethora of Predictions

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Longtime readers know that I have in some years written prediction newsletters, then followed up 11 months later to grade the list. This yea...
Saturday, December 01, 2012

Early Indications November 2012: How will TV be disrupted?

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No sector has been more transformed by the internet than audience aggregators. These content companies, through various means, make money fr...
Thursday, November 01, 2012

Early Indications October 2012: The State of Mobile Payment (U.S. market)

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With so many powerful players getting involved, some more standing on the sidelines, and a few wild-card startups, the smartphone-as-wallet ...
Sunday, September 30, 2012

Early Indications September 2012: Party platform comparison

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***** It should be stated explicitly that all views are my own and do not represent official policy or any other attribute of my employers. ...
Saturday, July 28, 2012

Early Indications July 2012: The Media Beast

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Those of you who have read this newsletter for a while know that it has, nominally anyway, a technology focus. While the current number ma...
Saturday, June 30, 2012

Early Indications May 2012: The limits of consumerism

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In 1968, a young reporter named Joe McGinnis covered the presidential campaign of eventual winner Richard Nixon. Nixon was determined to ...

Early Indications June 2012 Review essay: Daniel Kahneman, Thinking Fast and Slow

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In his masterful reframing of the history of science, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions , Thomas Kuhn introduced the notion of a parad...
Wednesday, May 02, 2012

April 2012 Early Indications: The Robotic Moment

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Everywhere I look, it seems, all I see are robots. Not literally, but while the Apple narrative consumes lots of headline space, there's...
Saturday, March 31, 2012

March 2012 Early Indications II: The new tech landscape

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First things first: I'm pleased to announce that John Wiley has just published my book, Information, Technology, and Innovation . The to...
Wednesday, March 07, 2012

March 2012 Early Indications I: Financial oddities of tech companies

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Three data points start this exploration: 1) According to Thomson Reuters, Apple is moving the entire S&P 500: "the fourth-quarter ...