Thursday, June 26, 2008

June 2008 Early Indications: Crossing Over

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Rather than looking at the somewhat ambiguous "tipping points" that Malcolm Gladwell helped popularize (much to my colleague David...
Thursday, May 29, 2008

May 2008 Early Indications: Book reviews

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Nicholas Carr, The Big Switch: Rewiring the World, From Edison to Google (New York: Norton, 2008) Clay Shirky, Here Comes Everybody: The Pow...
Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Early Indications April 2008: Oil, Bits, and Steel

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It used to be an economic commonplace that value was added in increasing amounts the farther one moved from raw material extraction. Farms,...
Saturday, March 29, 2008

Early Indications March 2008: Engines of Complexity

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Any time a new technology is introduced, the market traditionally extends conventional modes of use and understanding from the new thing...
Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Early Indications February 2008: Bicycles

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Anyone who has been to Paris in the last six months has seen a major change to the iconic city's landscape: a plan to deploy over 20,000...
Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Early Indications January 2008: Looking Ahead

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At the start of a new year, we can assess a few areas of major uncertainty and activity. Somewhere in the next 12 to 18 months, I expect to...
Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Early Indications December 2007: Prediction Scorecard

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How did we do? Last December I wrote that "we see a collision between systems based on old and new models of regulation, remuneration, ...
Monday, November 19, 2007

November 2007 Early Indications: 10 Predictions for the Next 10 Years

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As promised last month, here are ten information-technology-related areas to watch over the next ten years. Rather than attempting to be sy...
Wednesday, October 24, 2007

October 2007 Early Indications II: Ten big technology-related busts in the past ten years

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Earlier this month we marked ten years of this newsletter's publication by noting ten developments that quickly permeated the market aft...